General Motors Co. has joined the chorus of companies warning that car sales in western Europe will slump this year as scrappage programs wind down.
GM Europe President Nick Reilly predicts sales in the region will fall to between 13 million and 13.5 million this year from 15.1 million in 2009. He expects a sharp decline early this year and says sales volume will not return to 2008 levels for three years.
Yesterday John Fleming, CEO of Ford of Europe, told Dow Jones Newswires that car sales in western Europe will probably total between 13.5 million and 14.5 million this year. He notes that Europe’s underlying economy remains flat, with high unemployment and a weak housing market.
Fleming says last year’s scrappage schemes pulled ahead sales that otherwise would have occurred this year. Last October J.D. Power and Associates estimated that scrappage incentives generated about 2 million vehicle sales, including 500,000 pulled from this year.

